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As part of the labor planning process, you review revenue center forecasts, apply forecast environments (if necessary), and override system forecasts with your own forecasts. In LMS, this step is accessed from the Planning screen.

Accessing the Revenue Center Forecasting screen

  1. In the toolbar, click the Main Menu icon (  ).
  2. From the drop-down list, under the Labor section, select Planning.
    The Planning screen appears.
  3. In the View/Edit Revenue Center Forecast row, click Update/Start.
    The View/Edit Revenue Center Forecast screen appears. 

The Revenue Center Forecasting screen

The Revenue Center Forecasting screen displays forecast data for an organization's revenue centers. On the Revenue Center Forecasting screen, you can do the following:

  • Select planning periods and revenue centers.
  • View business volume forecast information for each revenue center.
  • View weather forecast information (if available for the date selected).
  • Edit business volume forecasts.
  • Apply, change, and remove forecast environments.  
  • View details and statistics for KBIs.

The initial display shows the first seven days of the current planning period for the property. If there are more than seven days in the planning period, you can page forward in seven-day increments. All KBI and forecast information is displayed in a table.

Notes:

  • When first navigating to the Revenue Center Forecasting screen: If you have access to only a single revenue center, the application automatically chooses that revenue center and brings you to the screen, showing the data for that revenue center. If you have access to multiple Revenue Centers, the first time you access the Revenue Forecasting application, you are prompted to select a revenue center from the Select Revenue Center drop-down menu. The next time you access the Revenue Center Forecasting screen, the application loads the forecast data of the revenue center that you last viewed.
  • A mobile version of the Revenue Center Forecasting screen is available. For more information, see the Mobile 2.0 Quick Reference Guide.

For more information on the tasks you can perform, see Working with the Revenue Center Forecasting screen.

Fields and controls on the Revenue Center Forecasting screen

#Field/ControlDescriptionNotes
1Planning PeriodSelect the planning period.
2Selected Revenue CenterSelect the revenue center.

Only revenue centers to which you have access are available.

3

Legend


Opens the Legend dialog box

Accuracy calculations of forecasts are based on the most recent data from the same business operating environments

—In recent weeks with the same business conditions, on average the system forecast was within 4 % of the actual business volume.

 

Read-only.

In recent weeks with the same business conditions, on average the system forecast was within 5% to 9% of the actual business volume.

Read-only.

In recent weeks with the same business conditions, on average the system forecast was within 10% to 14% of the actual business volume.

Read-only.

In recent weeks with the same business conditions, on average the system forecast was within 15% to 19% of the actual business volume.

Read-only.

In recent weeks with the same business conditions, on average the system forecast was within 20% of the actual business volume.

Read-only.

No System Forecast Available.

Read-only.

Forecast has been edited manually.

Read-only.

A forecast environment has been applied to a revenue center.

Read-only.

4Weather for the propertyThe weather forecast is displayed for the location of the selected property. With this information, you can quickly see the weather on a given day so that you can make an educated guess as to the impact that the weather might have on business volumes. The weather forecast data includes the temperature (high and low) and an icon that indicates weather conditions.

Read-only.

5Forecast Accuracy by Day

The overall status of the forecast for the day. For each day, the cell displays one of the following:

  • If the system could not return a forecast for one or more KBIs for the day, a Needs Attention icon is displayed.
  • If a system forecast is available for all KBIs for the day and if at least one KBI forecast has been edited, a pencil icon ( ) is displayed.
  • If a system forecast is available for all KBIs for the day and if none of the KBI forecasts have been edited, a variance icon is displayed. This icon shows the KBI with the worst system forecast accuracy for that day.


Read-only.

6KBIsForecast values for the KBIs. A number and an icon are displayed for each day. The numbers indicate the number of units (for example, covers), and the icon represents the variance of the system forecast from the actual business volumes.

Read-only.

 KBI Details section

The details pane is available for each KBI.

To open the KBI Details section:

  • Click the arrow (  ) in front of the KBI for which to view details.
    The table expands to display details and statistics under the KBI.
7Forecast environment

Forecast environment applied to the KBI.

If a forecast environment is applied to a KBI, the name of the forecast environment appears in the cells and a Change button is available. If a forecast environment is not added to a KBI, an Add button is available.

You can add, change, or remove forecast environments.


8System Accuracy

During the past four weeks with the same business conditions, on average the system forecast was within X units and Y percent of the actual business volume.


Read-only.

9Manager AccuracyDuring the past four weeks with the same business conditions, on average the manager forecast was within X units and Y percent of the actual business volume.

Read-only.

10System Forecast

The volume forecast generated by the system.

In each cell, the number indicates the system forecast value and the icon indicates the recent average variance of the system forecast to the actual business volume.

Read-only.

11Manager Forecast

Manually entered forecast by a manager. If there is no manager forecast, the cell is blank.

Enter a value if you feel that you can better predict the volumes for the day. If there is a manager forecast, the system uses that value instead of the system forecast in schedule calculations.

You cannot enter a negative value.
12Various statistics

Additional statistics that are helpful in finalizing forecasts of business volumes:

  • Last Week—Actual business volume for the same day last week.
  • Last Year—Actual business volume for the same day last year.
  • 4-Week Averages—Average business volume for the same day for the last four weeks.
  • Forecast Available Guests—Number of guests available to patronize the business on a given day and revenue center period. This is only displayed for KBIs forecasted using statistical regression.
  • Forecast Capture—Forecast percentage of guests who will patronize the business on a given day in a revenue center period. This calculation uses the KBI configured as the capture KBI in the KBI configuration.
  • Last Week Capture—Actual percentage of guests who patronized the business on the same day last week in a revenue center period. This calculation uses the KBI configured as the capture KBI in the KBI configuration.
  • Last Year Capture—Actual percentage of guests who patronized the business on the same day last year in a revenue center period. This calculation uses the KBI configured as the capture KBI in the KBI configuration.
  • 4 Week Average Capture—Average percentage of guests who have patronized the business on the same day for the last four weeks in a revenue center period. This calculation uses the KBI configured as the capture KBI in the KBI configuration.

Read-only.



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